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The Slate Sheet: NFL Matchup Research for October 4, 2026

NFL matchup context with league ranks, rushing usage and the exact recent-game samples behind each observation.

Slatery Research DeskOctober 4, 202611 min readslate: 2026-10-04

This is the 2026-10-04 pregame edition. Figures describe the sample at publication; roles, lineups and game conditions can change.

NFL matchup research for Sunday, October 4, 2026. Start with the league context, then check the underlying sample and the current personnel.

NFL ยท Rushing efficiency and run defense

Packers run game walks into a wall

Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers ยท Kickoff 1:00 PM EDT

Packers: 29th in rushing efficiency. Buccaneers: 1st in limiting it. A run game that's been stuck meets a defense that's been stuffing it.

MeasureRecent resultNFL rankHow to read it
Packers: rushing offense3.45 yards/carry29th of 32Most rushing yards per carry
Buccaneers: run defense2.84 yards/carry1st of 32Fewest rushing yards allowed per carry

The Green Bay Packers averaged 3.45 rushing yards per carry, 29th among NFL offenses in this sample. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers allowed 2.84 yards per carry, 1st for the fewest allowed. The league ranks explain the contrast: the run defense has the better standing relative to its peers. Watch the yardage gained on early rushing downs: repeated short gains could leave longer passing downs. The samples contain different opponents and do not forecast this game's average.

Sample: Last 4 / 4 team games before slate ยท includes 2025. 4 offense games ยท 4 defense games

Prior-season games are included. Different opponents and personnel limit the comparison.

Slatery trench report ยท source slate 2026-10-04. Open the supporting NFL report

NFL ยท Rushing work inside the 20

Ashton Jeanty: 17 of 19 carries inside the 20

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders ยท Kickoff 4:25 PM EDT

Ashton Jeanty had 17 of 19 Raiders carries inside the 20. When they get close, it's his ball.

MeasureRecent resultHow to read it
Player carries17 carriesInside opponent's 20-yard line
Team carries19 carriesSame area ยท 4 team games
Share of carries89.5%17 of 19

Over the 4 team games in this report, Ashton Jeanty took 17 of Las Vegas Raiders' 19 carries inside the opponent's 20-yard line. The 89.5% share identifies who received those rushing opportunities. It does not measure how many carries came at the goal line or establish a touchdown probability.

Sample: Last 4 team games before this slate ยท includes 2025. 4 team games ยท 19 team carries ยท 17 player carries

Previous-season games are included; roles can change. Carries do not equal touchdowns.

Slatery red-zone report ยท source slate 2026-10-04. Open the supporting NFL report

NFL ยท Pass protection and pass rush

Pass-rush edge: Vikings rush vs Dolphins line

Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings ยท Kickoff 4:05 PM EDT

Dolphins rank 30th at avoiding sacks; Vikings rank 1st at generating them. A rush that gets home against a line that's been leaking.

MeasureRecent resultNFL rankHow to read it
Dolphins: sacks allowed11.7 per 100 attempts30th of 32Fewest sacks allowed
Vikings: sacks made14.4 per 100 attempts1st of 32Most sacks generated

The Miami Dolphins allowed 11.7 sacks per 100 pass attempts, ranking 30th for the fewest allowed. The Minnesota Vikings generated 14.4 per 100 opposing pass attempts, ranking 1st for the most generated. Lower is better for the offense; higher is better for the defense. A rush that gets home against a line that's been leaking. These are separate opponent samples, so the rates should not be subtracted. Watch whether the quarterback can complete his reads without pressure: sack history does not capture every hurried throw.

Sample: Last 4 / 4 team games before slate ยท includes 2025. 4 offense games ยท 4 defense games

Prior-season games are included. Different opponents and personnel limit the comparison.

Slatery trench report ยท source slate 2026-10-04. Open the supporting NFL report

NFL ยท Pass protection and pass rush

Protection edge: Rams line vs Eagles pass rush

Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles ยท Kickoff 1:00 PM EDT

Rams rank 5th at avoiding sacks; Eagles rank 30th at generating them. One of the cleanest pockets in football against a rush that rarely gets there.

MeasureRecent resultNFL rankHow to read it
Rams: sacks allowed4.0 per 100 attempts5th of 32Fewest sacks allowed
Eagles: sacks made3.3 per 100 attempts30th of 32Most sacks generated

The Los Angeles Rams allowed 4.0 sacks per 100 pass attempts, ranking 5th for the fewest allowed. The Philadelphia Eagles generated 3.3 per 100 opposing pass attempts, ranking 30th for the most generated. Lower is better for the offense; higher is better for the defense. One of the cleanest pockets in football against a rush that rarely gets there. These are separate opponent samples, so the rates should not be subtracted. Watch whether the quarterback can complete his reads without pressure: sack history does not capture every hurried throw.

Sample: Last 4 / 4 team games before slate ยท includes 2025. 4 offense games ยท 4 defense games

Prior-season games are included. Different opponents and personnel limit the comparison.

Slatery trench report ยท source slate 2026-10-04. Open the supporting NFL report

NFL ยท Pass protection and pass rush

Pass-rush edge: Seahawks rush vs Chargers line

Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks ยท Kickoff 4:25 PM EDT

Chargers rank 31st at avoiding sacks; Seahawks rank 7th at generating them. A rush that gets home against a line that's been leaking.

MeasureRecent resultNFL rankHow to read it
Chargers: sacks allowed11.8 per 100 attempts31st of 32Fewest sacks allowed
Seahawks: sacks made9.6 per 100 attempts7th of 32Most sacks generated

The Los Angeles Chargers allowed 11.8 sacks per 100 pass attempts, ranking 31st for the fewest allowed. The Seattle Seahawks generated 9.6 per 100 opposing pass attempts, ranking 7th for the most generated. Lower is better for the offense; higher is better for the defense. A rush that gets home against a line that's been leaking. These are separate opponent samples, so the rates should not be subtracted. Watch whether the quarterback can complete his reads without pressure: sack history does not capture every hurried throw.

Sample: Last 4 / 4 team games before slate ยท includes 2025. 4 offense games ยท 4 defense games

Prior-season games are included. Different opponents and personnel limit the comparison.

Slatery trench report ยท source slate 2026-10-04. Open the supporting NFL report

NFL ยท Rushing efficiency and run defense

Ground-game edge: Jaguars run game vs Bengals run D

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals ยท Kickoff 1:00 PM EDT

Jaguars: 7th in rushing efficiency. Bengals: 30th in limiting it. Strength meets weakness on the ground.

MeasureRecent resultNFL rankHow to read it
Jaguars: rushing offense4.70 yards/carry7th of 32Most rushing yards per carry
Bengals: run defense4.76 yards/carry30th of 32Fewest rushing yards allowed per carry

The Jacksonville Jaguars averaged 4.70 rushing yards per carry, 7th among NFL offenses in this sample. The Cincinnati Bengals allowed 4.76 yards per carry, 30th for the fewest allowed. The league ranks explain the contrast: the offense has the better standing relative to its peers. Watch the yardage gained on early rushing downs: repeated short gains could leave longer passing downs. The samples contain different opponents and do not forecast this game's average.

Sample: Last 4 / 4 team games before slate ยท includes 2025. 4 offense games ยท 4 defense games

Prior-season games are included. Different opponents and personnel limit the comparison.

Slatery trench report ยท source slate 2026-10-04. Open the supporting NFL report

NFL ยท Pass protection and pass rush

Pass-rush edge: Raiders rush vs Chiefs line

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders ยท Kickoff 4:25 PM EDT

Chiefs rank 24th at avoiding sacks; Raiders rank 2nd at generating them. A rush that gets home against a line that's been leaking.

MeasureRecent resultNFL rankHow to read it
Chiefs: sacks allowed9.3 per 100 attempts24th of 32Fewest sacks allowed
Raiders: sacks made14.2 per 100 attempts2nd of 32Most sacks generated

The Kansas City Chiefs allowed 9.3 sacks per 100 pass attempts, ranking 24th for the fewest allowed. The Las Vegas Raiders generated 14.2 per 100 opposing pass attempts, ranking 2nd for the most generated. Lower is better for the offense; higher is better for the defense. A rush that gets home against a line that's been leaking. These are separate opponent samples, so the rates should not be subtracted. Watch whether the quarterback can complete his reads without pressure: sack history does not capture every hurried throw.

Sample: Last 4 / 4 team games before slate ยท includes 2025. 4 offense games ยท 4 defense games

Prior-season games are included. Different opponents and personnel limit the comparison.

Slatery trench report ยท source slate 2026-10-04. Open the supporting NFL report

NFL ยท Rushing efficiency and run defense

Ground-game edge: 49ers run game vs Broncos run D

Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers ยท Kickoff 4:25 PM EDT

49ers: 5th in rushing efficiency. Broncos: 27th in limiting it. Strength meets weakness on the ground.

MeasureRecent resultNFL rankHow to read it
49ers: rushing offense4.83 yards/carry5th of 32Most rushing yards per carry
Broncos: run defense4.65 yards/carry27th of 32Fewest rushing yards allowed per carry

The San Francisco 49ers averaged 4.83 rushing yards per carry, 5th among NFL offenses in this sample. The Denver Broncos allowed 4.65 yards per carry, 27th for the fewest allowed. The league ranks explain the contrast: the offense has the better standing relative to its peers. Watch the yardage gained on early rushing downs: repeated short gains could leave longer passing downs. The samples contain different opponents and do not forecast this game's average.

Sample: Last 4 / 4 team games before slate ยท includes 2025. 4 offense games ยท 4 defense games

Prior-season games are included. Different opponents and personnel limit the comparison.

Slatery trench report ยท source slate 2026-10-04. Open the supporting NFL report

NFL ยท Rushing work inside the 20

Jahmyr Gibbs: 18 of 21 carries inside the 20

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers ยท Kickoff 8:20 PM EDT

Jahmyr Gibbs had 18 of 21 Lions carries inside the 20. When they get close, it's his ball.

MeasureRecent resultHow to read it
Player carries18 carriesInside opponent's 20-yard line
Team carries21 carriesSame area ยท 4 team games
Share of carries85.7%18 of 21

Over the 4 team games in this report, Jahmyr Gibbs took 18 of Detroit Lions' 21 carries inside the opponent's 20-yard line. The 85.7% share identifies who received those rushing opportunities. It does not measure how many carries came at the goal line or establish a touchdown probability.

Sample: Last 4 team games before this slate ยท includes 2025. 4 team games ยท 21 team carries ยท 18 player carries

Previous-season games are included; roles can change. Carries do not equal touchdowns.

Slatery red-zone report ยท source slate 2026-10-04. Open the supporting NFL report

NFL ยท Rushing efficiency and run defense

Ground-game edge: Lions run game vs Panthers run D

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers ยท Kickoff 8:20 PM EDT

Lions: 11th in rushing efficiency. Panthers: 32nd in limiting it. Strength meets weakness on the ground.

MeasureRecent resultNFL rankHow to read it
Lions: rushing offense4.40 yards/carry11th of 32Most rushing yards per carry
Panthers: run defense5.35 yards/carry32nd of 32Fewest rushing yards allowed per carry

The Detroit Lions averaged 4.40 rushing yards per carry, 11th among NFL offenses in this sample. The Carolina Panthers allowed 5.35 yards per carry, 32nd for the fewest allowed. The league ranks explain the contrast: the offense has the better standing relative to its peers. Watch the yardage gained on early rushing downs: repeated short gains could leave longer passing downs. The samples contain different opponents and do not forecast this game's average.

Sample: Last 4 / 4 team games before slate ยท includes 2025. 4 offense games ยท 4 defense games

Prior-season games are included. Different opponents and personnel limit the comparison.

Slatery trench report ยท source slate 2026-10-04. Open the supporting NFL report

NFL ยท Rushing work inside the 20

Christian McCaffrey: 8 of 13 carries inside the 20

Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers ยท Kickoff 4:25 PM EDT

Christian McCaffrey had 8 of 13 49ers carries inside the 20. When they get close, it's his ball.

MeasureRecent resultHow to read it
Player carries8 carriesInside opponent's 20-yard line
Team carries13 carriesSame area ยท 4 team games
Share of carries61.5%8 of 13

Over the 4 team games in this report, Christian McCaffrey took 8 of San Francisco 49ers' 13 carries inside the opponent's 20-yard line. The 61.5% share identifies who received those rushing opportunities. It does not measure how many carries came at the goal line or establish a touchdown probability.

Sample: Last 4 team games before this slate ยท includes 2025. 4 team games ยท 13 team carries ยท 8 player carries

Previous-season games are included; roles can change. Carries do not equal touchdowns.

Slatery red-zone report ยท source slate 2026-10-04. Open the supporting NFL report

What these numbers mean

League ranks describe the exact recent-game window shown with each observation. First is the strongest rank: fewer sacks or rushing yards allowed for a defense/protection measure, and more sacks generated or rushing yards gained for a production measure.

At the start of the season, a four-game window can include the previous season. Changes in personnel and opponents matter. Red-zone carries describe past usage, not touchdown probabilities.

Each observation keeps its original evidence and source date. Earlier observations remain readable after kickoff; they are records of the pregame research, not live game updates.

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