The Slate Sheet: NHL Edges for October 5, 2026
NHL research for October 5, 2026: shot-volume surges, back-to-back spots, power-play mismatches and goalie form, with the sample behind every number.
The NHL spots worth your attention for Monday, October 5, 2026. We scan every game for shot volume that ice time backs up, tired-legs schedule spots, special-teams mismatches and goalie form, and only the clear outliers make the sheet.
- Stars power play (27.9%) vs a 66.1% kill
- Claude Giroux: 3.0 shots a game over his last 5
- Nikita Kucherov: 4.2 shots a game over his last 5
- Penguins power play (25.0%) vs a 74.0% kill
NHL · Pp Mismatch
Stars power play (27.9%) vs a 66.1% kill
Sharks at Stars · Puck drop 8:00 PM EDT
League norms sit near 21% on the power play and 79% on the kill. This one is hot on one side and leaky on the other.
| Measure | Number | What it is |
|---|---|---|
| Stars power play | 27.9% | Conversion rate · last 20 games |
| Sharks penalty kill | 66.1% | Kill rate · last 20 games |
Sample: Last 20 team games.
Last-20 samples can include 2025-26 games. Penalty counts swing nightly.
Slatery NHL special-teams report · source slate 2026-10-05. Open the full NHL report
NHL · Shot Surge
Claude Giroux: 3.0 shots a game over his last 5
Senators at Bruins · Puck drop 7:30 PM EDT
Up from 1.8 across 86 games, with 1.6 more minutes a night. A shot line built on the long average is behind him.
| Measure | Number | What it is |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3.0 SOG | Shots on goal per game |
| Since Sep 2025 | 1.8 SOG | Shots on goal per game · 86 games |
Sample: Last 5 games vs since Sep 2025.
Early-season windows can include 2025-26 games. Deployment can change nightly.
Slatery NHL player-form report · source slate 2026-10-05. Open the full NHL report
NHL · Shot Surge
Nikita Kucherov: 4.2 shots a game over his last 5
Flyers at Lightning · Puck drop 7:00 PM EDT
Up from 3.1 across 82 games, with 2.0 more minutes a night. A shot line built on the long average is behind him.
| Measure | Number | What it is |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4.2 SOG | Shots on goal per game |
| Since Sep 2025 | 3.1 SOG | Shots on goal per game · 82 games |
Sample: Last 5 games vs since Sep 2025.
Early-season windows can include 2025-26 games. Deployment can change nightly.
Slatery NHL player-form report · source slate 2026-10-05. Open the full NHL report
NHL · Pp Mismatch
Penguins power play (25.0%) vs a 74.0% kill
Jets at Penguins · Puck drop 7:30 PM EDT
League norms sit near 21% on the power play and 79% on the kill. This one is hot on one side and leaky on the other.
| Measure | Number | What it is |
|---|---|---|
| Penguins power play | 25.0% | Conversion rate · last 20 games |
| Jets penalty kill | 74.0% | Kill rate · last 20 games |
Sample: Last 20 team games.
Last-20 samples can include 2025-26 games. Penalty counts swing nightly.
Slatery NHL special-teams report · source slate 2026-10-05. Open the full NHL report
How the sheet is built
Shot surges need both more shots and more ice time over the last five games, so a lucky week on a fourth line doesn't qualify. Rest spots compare a team on the second night of a back-to-back with an opponent coming off three or more days off. Special-teams notes use each team's last 20 games against league norms of roughly 21% on the power play and 79% on the kill.
Early in the season, these windows still include 2025-26 games. Each observation keeps its original numbers and source date; earlier observations stay readable after puck drop as a record of the pregame research, not live updates.
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