World Series Forecast
Title odds, playoff matchups and projected series winners.
Sample preview — not current forecasts or scores.
Title chalk
Wins the World Series, including simulated seasons without a playoff berth.
| Team | Record | Likely seed | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60–40 | 15.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | 90.0% | 1550 | #1 | |
| 59–41 | 14.0% | 23.0% | 46.0% | 84.0% | 1542 | #2 | |
| 58–42 | 13.0% | 21.0% | 42.0% | 78.0% | 1534 | #3 | |
| 57–43 | 12.0% | 19.0% | 38.0% | 72.0% | 1526 | #4 | |
| 56–44 | 11.0% | 17.0% | 34.0% | 66.0% | 1518 | #5 | |
| 55–45 | 10.0% | 15.0% | 30.0% | 60.0% | 1510 | #6 | |
| 54–46 | 9.0% | 13.0% | 26.0% | 54.0% | 1502 | #6 | |
| 53–47 | 8.0% | 11.0% | 22.0% | 48.0% | 1494 | #6 | |
| 52–48 | 7.0% | 9.0% | 18.0% | 42.0% | 1486 | #6 | |
| 51–49 | 6.0% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 36.0% | 1478 | #6 | |
| 50–50 | 5.0% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 30.0% | 1470 | #6 | |
| 49–51 | 4.0% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 24.0% | 1462 | #6 |
Brewers Sample detail
Brewers
NL Central · most common seed #1 · 15.0% World Series
vs
PHIvs
ATLvs
NYYAlive = in the bracket at this stage (bye counts). Plays = actually has a series. The bar is conditional on playing the round; “advances in X% of all sims” is the full-slate rate across every opponent.
Rankings come from simulating the rest of the season thousands of times, not from a single “hot take” stat. Strength of schedule still ahead, current ELO, and recent form all feed each game’s win probability.
Share of Monte Carlo seasons they hoist the trophy
Probability they land a postseason berth
Season strength · #1 in MLB right now
Usually draws a Wild Card bye
- ELO gap (home − away)
- Each side’s L10 / L30 win rate
- Each side’s L10 / L30 run differential
- Rest days for both clubs
World Series Forecast
Unlock daily World Series odds, playoff paths, and the model features behind every team. Included with the MLB predictions plan.